Methodology

Transparency, confidence, and public-health honesty

Epidemic Radar combines verified public-health sources, AI-inferred news signals, and clearly labeled estimated/simulated visualization layers. It is not medical advice.

Verified data

WHO DON, ECDC threat reports, and official ministries when available.

Estimated data

AI-inferred events from trusted news, GDELT signals, and deduplicated mentions.

Simulated data

Clearly labeled demo spread, fallback motion layers, and visualization placeholders.

Risk scoring model

Risk score = weighted combination of verified case count, recent growth, independent sources, geographic spread, severity/death ratio if known, mobility relevance placeholder, source trust, recency, and confidence score.

  • Every datapoint includes status, confidence score, source metadata, and last update.
  • Verified-only mode removes estimated and simulated overlays from the map.
  • AI summaries link to source articles and avoid copying full article text.
  • Low-confidence events are held for analyst review in the admin moderation queue.